onsdag 4. april 2012

DAGENS NY FORSKNING: UTILSIKTEDE KONSEKVENSER*

Her er en annen interessant artikkel: Unintended consequences from nested state and federal regulations: The case of the Pavley greenhouse-gas-per-mile limits. Den er skrevet av Lawrence H. Goulder, Mark R. Jacobsen, og Arthur A. van Benthem, og publisert i tidsskriftet Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. Her er artikkelens sammendrag ("abstract"):
This paper reveals significant unintended consequences from recent 14-state efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions through limits on greenhouse gases per mile from new cars. We show that while such efforts significantly reduce emissions from new cars sold in the adopting states, they cause substantial emissions increases from new cars sold in other (non-adopting) states and from used cars. The costs per avoided ton of emissions are approximately twice as high once such offsets are recognized.

Such offsets (or “leakage”) reflect interactions between the state-level initiatives and the federal fuel-economy standard: the state-level efforts effectively loosen the national standard, giving automakers scope to profitably increase sales of high-emissions automobiles in non-adopting states. Although the state-level efforts spur invention of fuel- and emissions-saving technologies, interactions with the federal standard limit the nationwide emissions reductions from such advances.

Our multi-period simulation model estimates that a recent state-federal agreement avoids what would have been 74% leakage in the first phase of the state-level effort, and that potential for 65% leakage remains for the second phase.

This research confronts a general issue of policy significance—namely, problems from “nested” state and federal environmental regulations. Similar leakage difficulties would arise under several newly proposed state-level initiatives.
*Vi har påskefri - men har autopostert to daglige serier for våre lesere: 1) DAGENS REBLOGG med linker til tematisk grupperte tidligere innlegg som vi mener er verdt å lese og 2) DAGENS NY FORSKNING med gjengitt sammendrag av en nylig publisert artikkel som vi synes er interessant (og kanskje kommer til å blogge nærmere om på senere tidspunkt). GOD PÅSKE - HILSEN MILJØØKONOMENE!

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